Orser67
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,946
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« on: December 19, 2018, 12:28:13 PM » |
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Democrats probably take it back in 2022 if Trump wins re-election, unless Republicans have a really strong 2020 cycle and net a couple seats.
If Trump loses in 2020 but Democrats don't take back the Senate that year, Republicans could hold it for many, many cycles. Let's say Democrats net 1 seat in 2020, lose 2 seats in the 2022 midterms, lose 1 seat in 2024 while winning the presidential election (due to a horrible map), and lose 1 seat in the 2026 midterms. Democrats would then have a shot at finally taking back the Senate in 2028 if the Democratic presidential candidate could win a third term for the party, but it would require a pretty substantial win.
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