Schumer - Single Payer is on the table, target is to win back Obama/Trump voters

[Orser67]

Given Trump's unpopularity, there's a good chance that Democrats will be in position to pass another major healthcare law in 2021.

I think Democrats could probably get single-payer through the House if they have ~230 seats, and having that number of seats seems possible with good cycles in 2018 and 2020. But I really doubt that Democrats will have 60 seats in the Senate, so a major healthcare bill would require the use of reconciliation, some Senate Republican support, or the elimination of the legislative filibuster. The latter two seem unlikely to me.

I'm pretty sure you could use reconciliation to create a public option but I don't think you could use it to totally overhaul the system to single-payer, so I think we're probably looking at a public option in 2021 if Democrats win the 2018 and 2020 cycles.