NY-20 Final Predictions (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 05:14:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NY-20 Final Predictions (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NY-20 Final Predictions  (Read 9507 times)
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,477
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39
« on: March 30, 2009, 08:00:22 PM »
Logged
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,477
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39
« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2009, 04:06:04 AM »
If this was election day, I'd be comfortable predicting a solid Murphy win, but this is a special election, special elections have low turnout, Republicans benefit from low turnout, therefore the Republican has a higher chance of winning. Let alone the fact that this is a fairly Republican/Blue Dog district.

Truth of the matter is this race means absolutely nothing, whether Murphy wins or loses. It's not a referendum on Obama or the stimulus, or really even the Republican Party (though an argument could be made that is the case) because this is just going to be an obscure low-turnout Special Election. In any other instance we wouldn't be paying half a mind to this race.

But of course the media will hype it either way.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.