Senate Pickups?

[Person Man]

Worst comes to worst- they will lose LA and gain VA and NM. (52 dems)

What will probably happen- The GOP will be shut out and the dems will win CO,NM,NH,VA (55 dems)

What COULD happen- The GOP gets shut out and the dems gain CO,NM,NH,VA,OR,MN,ME and AK. (59 dems)

If the dems net a loss in the house, or lose the senate and THE WH, I would say that they got wiped out, no matter how well they did at the roots.

[Person Man]

Mississippi is so far south that Democrats don't stand much of a chance anymore.

Yeah, although maybe a really conservative democrat might have a chance, it's best to look at places like Virginia, where the GOP base can be eroded.

[Person Man]

Democratic pickups, NH, CO, NM, and VA. Also possibly OR and with AK if the Democrats couldn't win there in 2004 what makes anyone think they can in 2008 even with all the scandals that are plaguing Stevens?

Republican pickups, Possibly LA?  

2004 was a very good year for Republicans and Murkowski was saved only by Bush's 61%-38% margin. 

However people in Alaska know Stevens and he has been an excellent Senator for the state and I think he will win on this account. 

Lol. fuggin rich people.

[Person Man]

Should be Democrats +5:

NH, VA, MN, NM, and CO, holding LA

Well...maybe not MN, but the dems can't hold MN with Clinton, I am pretty sure there will be no Democratic Revival until we get another 1929 or when a major U.S. goes up in a mushroom cloud....and with Bhutto dead, I would say the chance of that happening went from like 5% to like 25%.

[Person Man]

As of now...

The only pickups will be New Hampshire and Colorado. Net gain of two.

Who's going to defeat Mark Warner?

Oh, wow, totally forgot that one. I think I forget about it because it is so safe Dem that one would assume it currently held by a Dem incumbent. So let's revise my previous prediction:

Pickups - New Hampshire, Colorado and Virginia. Net gain of three.

I'd be interested to hear why you think Colorado is more likely to change hands than New Mexico. I'm not challenging the idea, but it seems as if Tom Udall is polling considerably more strongly than Mark Udall, and the fact that the Republicans will have a serious primary in New Mexico but not in Colorado surely can't help.

The GOP primary in NM will hurt us in the short term but, in the end, I think that battle will really prepare us for a tough General. I also think that both Pearce and Wilson (I'm supporting Pearce) are much stronger than Schaffer in Colorado.

That really does seem like Wishful thinking. My gut says-

Colorado- 50% Udall
                49% Schaffer

New Mexico- 55% Udall
                     44% Wilson

[Person Man]

Should be Democrats +5:

NH, VA, MN, NM, and CO, holding LA

I am pretty sure there will be no Democratic Revival until we get another 1929 or when a major U.S. goes up in a mushroom cloud....and with Bhutto dead, I would say the chance of that happening went from like 5% to like 25%.

Hoping for the day, I see.

Is the spinmaster trying to spin my fears into hopes?