Solid start for Hobbs. Beshar's approvals are encouraging for his reelection bid. Imho, very much possible he wins by 4-5 pts., which would be stunning for KY.
She’ll be 76 in 2026, but Laura Kelly’s popularity could be enough to put the KS-Sen seat in 2026 on the board in a Republican midterm.
Senator Steve Bullock agrees.
People bring this up all the time, but Bredesen, Bullock, Lingle, and Weld all did much better than the partisan baseline. If it was a Republican midterm (especially Trump for some reason), underestimate that seat being competitive at your own peril.
I have my doubts. It's still KS after all. The state is little D-trending, but I can't see it being there in 2026. Best case, imho, is a mid to high single digit loss here.
As things are going now? Sure. Maybe Republicans can reconsolidate their control but just as likely, Democrats will gain a more solid foothold there. If Kansas City was actually in Kansas, Kansas would probably already be a purple state.