Marquette Law School, Biden +10 vs Trump, +8 vs DeSantis (user search)
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  Marquette Law School, Biden +10 vs Trump, +8 vs DeSantis (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marquette Law School, Biden +10 vs Trump, +8 vs DeSantis  (Read 1274 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,671
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« on: January 27, 2022, 10:20:13 AM »
« edited: January 27, 2022, 02:00:12 PM by Person Man »

Garbage poll with so many undecided. Only confirms that American's aren't hot about either candidate now, with DeSantis not having universal name rec.

Trump and DeSantis would get at least 45% no matter what, Biden gets >48% no matter what.

Pretty much. In a totally neutral year, the Democrat would beat the Republican in the NPV by 51-48. I think Michigan would be won relatively easily, Georgia and Arizona would narrowly flip, and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania would decide it. At this rate, maybe it would be the other way around or stay that way if Trump isn't up there and the new guy isn't that compelling. OTOH, Romney showed that even with someone who has zero charisma with non-traditional Republicans and ultimately lost by about double the margin he was expected to, he still did very well with Clinton-Bush and Kerry-McCain voters. Charisma can start trends but the lack thereof can't slow them down.


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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,671
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2022, 11:40:45 AM »

Garbage poll with so many undecided. Only confirms that American's aren't hot about either candidate now, with DeSantis not having universal name rec.

Trump and DeSantis would get at least 45% no matter what, Biden gets >48% no matter what.

On the contrary, I think this poll is very helpful. DeSantis is low likely because of name recognition issues, but the fact that Trump (the man who was president just a year ago) is only getting 33% from one of Wisconsin's few relatively trustworthy polls is downright embarrassing. Biden should be horrified too, polling only 43% as an incumbent president. This is a very telling poll and if there was ever room for a dark horse populist candidate to come in and take nation by storm, now is the time.

Both parties could use a Dark Horse Populist as both parties are in sh**t shape.
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