I have to admit, even though this is Rasmussen, I'm getting a bit concerned about Florida. It seems to be trending the wrong way relative to the other battleground states. I still think Biden wins there, because really if he's leading by 9-10 nationally he certainly should be leading in Florida, but it feels a bit more like Tilt Biden than Lean Biden right now.
Huh?
Last A/B rated polls of FL:
Biden +7
Biden +4
Biden +4
Biden +1
Biden +3
Biden +4
I know where the high-quality polls are, but still, the split between the high-quality and low-quality polls shouldn't be quite as large as it has been lately. Something seems a bit off.
This is happening all over with different states. The high quality polls are averaging about Biden +4. That's where the average has been for a while now, an uptick from a few months ago when it went down to Biden +1/2.
Just like in PA. Low quality pollsters have it at like Biden +2/3 while the HQ ones have it at like 7/8. It's just bc we're getting a ton of sh!tty pollsters.
Also, notice how there have been more outliers that fall below the mean (showing favorable results for Trump) than lie above the mean (showing favorable results to Biden)
Then they are pushing the mean down.