Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 36,718
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« on: September 21, 2020, 07:48:25 AM » |
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Trump will probably win Georgia but probably by not as a much as Kemp did, let alone how much he did his first time around. Maybe by 1.5% or the lowest amount that has a modicum of being a "fair and square" win.
OR
These guys are the new Trafalgar group, a hyperpartisan polling outfit is mostly way off but occasionally right. This could be because their model assumes the best case scenario for their candidate and it all falls into place... i.e. There's a grassroots disinformation campaign (a bunch of whoevers are all lying to the pollsters) causing a polling error that only their outfit can pick up on, there's a strong GOTV in place, AND the other campaign is either disorganized and/or lacks situation awareness. This could be these guys, too.
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