Both the far right and the wokes think Biden can win the popular vote by 6% and still lose.
Ever since G Elliott Morris posted the chart that basically argued that:
PV vote tie or any sort of Trump win = Trump win
PV vote Biden +1 = Trump favored but not a sure thing
PV vote Biden +2 = Tossup
PV vote Biden +3 = Biden favored but not a sure thing
PV vote Biden +4 or more = Biden win
I've been basically convinced by it. Morris knows what he's talking about.
So to get the margins we had before, maybe we would need Biden +1.1%. It would be ironic if we get an exact freiwal election With the same margin as before with Trump winning Florida by .2%. Maybe Cunningham and Kelly win by outpolling Biden by 3%.
