UK General Discussion: 2019. Blackadder goes Brexit.

[Person Man]

FTPA might also complicate things: under the circumstances it would be quite politically legitimate for Labour and the other opposition parties to argue 'yes to an election soon, but not right now'.

We were Brexit. You got Brexit. That's it. Right?

[Person Man]

Different scenarios from ComRes this weekend



It is interesting that it seems Johnson is better off going for No Deal Exit than delay with the obvious risk of him going to jail.  What is also interesting is that BXP->CON vote share is almost as great as No Deal Exit with a Brexit with a deal.  It could be the BXP voters are imagining a deal where EU backs down and not an adjusted version of the May Deal.    

At this rate, the next government will probably be a LD-Lab government as strange as that sounds.  Normally, the could just form a coalition that probably looks like a generic US Democratic Party but not sure how that would happen under Corbyn. Then again, the Republicans have Trump and the Tories have Johnson so we go into this knowing stranger things have happened.

[Person Man]

Lib-Lab won't happen. It will be Lab-SNP.

Think they will have enough votes?

[Person Man]

If the opposition rams through a second referendum with the options of "Remain" and "May's Deal" before the election the brexiters could just boycott the referendum. "Remain" would then win with a 99% share and the referendum would have as much legitimacy as the Northern Ireland referendum of 1973 where the unionists won with 99%.

They should have "Revoke Article 50", "Bypass Parliament and Agree to the currently agreed on negotiated separation", and "Leave and Default".

If no one option gets 50%, they should then have third referendum with the top two choices unless parliament passes one of the top two choices.

What do you think would happen in that case?

Personally, I think there should have been a second referendum on ratifying the deal once it was struck.