Suffolk: FL/OH bellwether county polls: Scott +1 in Volusia; Brown +15 in Clark

[Person Man]

Its probably not good for DeSantis's seat. That type of score really puts it in danger.

[Person Man]

I'm not sure I would consider Clark County a Bellwether anymore. One could argue that in 2000 or 2004, but since then it's drifted heavily Republican. I would say Stark or Lake County are better bellwethers for this state.

I Brown is up that much there then Connor should at least keep it very close and could win.

[Person Man]

Those aren't bellwethers.

What are Hillsborough and Pinellas at?

Not sure but given historic trends they will be carried by Nelson. They are both reliably Democratic and Pasco County immediately north has a habit of flip floppong but unless Scott really runs up the score there he's looking at better than a 100,000 vote deficit from the Bay Area. God help him already because Gillum unexpectedly won every county with a massive population center.

My prediction is that Duval will be the back breaker for the Scott/DeSantis ticket if Gillum gets them out to vote.

I am in Duval right now. I feel special.