TN Vanderbilt/SSRS: Bredesen +1 (user search)

Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 36,686

Re: TN Vanderbilt: Bredesen +1

« on: October 18, 2018, 07:30:07 AM »

Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 07:21:27 AM

Their past polls:

Trump +11
Romney +7
Romney +3

Junk.

When were these polls taken?

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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 36,686

Re: TN Vanderbilt/SSRS: Bredesen +1

« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2018, 11:58:38 AM »

Quote from: Ebsy on October 18, 2018, 11:56:34 AM

I believe they are using a different firm than they did in the past.

If this is an SSRS poll, this could be the difference between the race being called for Blackburn once polls closes to not having a senator-elect until the following day.

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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 36,686

Re: TN Vanderbilt/SSRS: Bredesen +1

« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2018, 01:58:48 PM »

Quote from: Southern Delegate Dwarven Dragon on October 18, 2018, 01:40:42 PM

Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 18, 2018, 01:38:03 PM

I don’t think anyone is seriously denying that Bredesen could win in a massive Democratic tsunami (I have it as Toss-up myself, btw), it’s just a question of whether you believe 2018 will be such an election or not. Unlike the rest of this forum, I’m not convinced it will be, at least not yet.

The rest of the forum isn't really convinced either, the average Atlas prediction shows Republicans keeping the Senate (and therefore winning TN, and no Dem Tsunami).

My guess is that the most reasonable estimates put us at 48-52 senate, 225-110 house.

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