Worst Midterm Defeat in last 50 years (user search)
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  Worst Midterm Defeat in last 50 years (search mode)
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Author Topic: Worst Midterm Defeat in last 50 years  (Read 7173 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: November 16, 2018, 09:28:55 AM »

This is the greatest annihilation of Rs in the House since 1974 and with 3.7% unemployment. Fun!
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,718
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2018, 01:36:22 PM »

This is the greatest annihilation of Rs in the House since 1974 and with 3.7% unemployment. Fun!


Only if you go by number of seats and that is mainly due to the GOP having more seats this decade than they have had in a very long time.


2008 IMO was a far greater annihilation of Republicans in the House than this
If not for Republican gerrymandering, this year would have been an even bigger defeat.

Anyways, Republicans can say whatever they want but this year was a BLUE WAVE!

So either the Republicans had an awful night or their gerrymandering was just that overrated.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,718
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2018, 03:26:56 PM »

This is the greatest annihilation of Rs in the House since 1974 and with 3.7% unemployment. Fun!


Only if you go by number of seats and that is mainly due to the GOP having more seats this decade than they have had in a very long time.


2008 IMO was a far greater annihilation of Republicans in the House than this
If not for Republican gerrymandering, this year would have been an even bigger defeat.

Anyways, Republicans can say whatever they want but this year was a BLUE WAVE!

So either the Republicans had an awful night or their gerrymandering was just that overrated.

I think what we've seen is that gerrymanders that paired suburbs with rural areas mostly stood up to the wave—see Ohio, Wisconsin, North Carolina—but gerrymanders that relied in part on 100% suburban districts fell because of the changes in voting patterns, and fell only in those 100% suburban districts.

That plus the impact of court-drawn, court-adjusted, and commission-drawn maps opened the door to Democrats winning as many seats as their vote share.

It's clear, though, that balanced maps in Ohio, North Carolina, Indiana, and Texas (near Austin and DFW) would have yielded even more seats for Dems in keeping with their totals.


2020 is important down ballot. If it's a good year, we could probably gain another 20 seats through gerrymandering but gerrymandering ages as people age, die, and move.
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