Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 36,669
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« on: June 03, 2014, 09:22:26 AM » |
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« edited: June 03, 2014, 09:26:36 AM by Night Man »
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Like what all political scientists say:
It depends. However, I would say at this point, probably not. They will probably nominate a Teabagger or, more likely, a boring white guy that has jumped on the TEA party express after defeating his TEA party primary challenger. That being said, this won't be a Carter-like presidency of the president putting behind partisanship to rebuild trust with the American people. Another reason why it wouldn't be like 1976, 1980 is that the President's congress will probably be more unified behind him than Carter's was behind him (even though it was Carter's and not the Republican opposition's Congress). Then again, by 2018 that could likely change and we might have a D congress though if that happens, voters will generally be happy with 6 years of a lame duck than 2. That hasn't happened since Truman, if not Hoover.
If anything, it will be more like something between 1928 and 1932 or even more likely, something we haven't really seen yet. i.e. A popular party becomes unpopular over the course of 2 or 3 years, their popularity then steadily rebounds, over the course of 8 years, and then they become unpopular again almost as soon as they become the establishment again.
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