Inauguration Day 2061 (user search)
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Author Topic: Inauguration Day 2061  (Read 2798 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,667
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« on: January 20, 2011, 10:14:30 AM »
« edited: January 20, 2011, 10:20:11 AM by Brother Bilo »

On January 20, 2061 a newly (re?-)elected U.S. president will be inaugurated.

Please give an estimate of likelihood (0% to 100%) that this president is gonna be
1. a woman 50/50
2. Hispanic No less likely than per capita
3. African AmericanNo less likely than per capita
4. Asian American No less likely than per capita
5. member of a religion other than Christianity No less likely than per capita
6. openly agnostic/atheist Unlikely, but not out of the question.
7. openly homosexual/bisexual No less likely than per capita.
8. transsexual No less likely than per capita.
9. not married At this point, unlikely....but its happened in the past and if society continues to transform due to low birth and death rates, its no less likely than a married person.
10. without children No less likely than someone with. Birthrates are falling.
11. younger than 40 years Unlikely, but possible. Deathrates and Birthrates will be very low. The natural lifespan might even start to chamge half way to 2061.
12. older than 70 years No less likely than anyone under 70. Death rates are falling
13. a naturalized U.S. citizen   very unlikely, almost impossible.
14. someone who has previously travelled to Earth's orbit Thanks to Obama's privatization of near-Earth space exploration and development, more likely than not; unless there is some serious national and global decline, there should be some way for at least a modestly wealthy "middle-class" millionaire (someone who can pay the cost of a new Chevy or Ford on a vacation) to get to sub-orbital space.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2011, 08:21:42 PM »

1. a woman 50%
2. Hispanic 70%
3. African American 50%
4. Asian American 50%
5. member of a religion other than Christianity 5% (Some things never change)
6. openly agnostic/atheist 49%
7. openly homosexual/bisexual 40%
8. transsexual 0%
9. not married 5%
10. without children 10%
11. younger than 40 years 20%
12. older than 70 years 10%
13. a naturalized U.S. citizen 0%
14. someone who has previously travelled to Earth's orbit 75%


I'll go with that.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2011, 09:09:18 AM »

You guys all know that 2, 3, and 4 have to add up to at most 100%, right?

Well, it could very well add up to past 100%. What about a gay hispanic woman who went on space vacation (or at least a Virgin Galatic) in 2049?
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