Will we ever elect a LGBT president? And if we do, when?

[Person Man]

I think we should focus on surviving long enough to mature to that point.

[Person Man]

I do not expect to see an openly LGBT president be elected in my time.  Some of the youngsters on the forum will likely live to see one elected, but not I.

Don't like this phrasing.

Say the average President lasts 1.5 terms, or six years. That means, in the next 90 years (the longest we might expect the youngest members of this forum to live), there will be 15 Presidents. Assuming that it would not be possible for an LGBT President to be elected at least until gay marriage is legal nationwide, anti-discrimination laws are in effect nationwide, etc., that's around 24-30 years lopped off, or about 4-5 Presidents. That leaves 10-11 Presidents, one of whom has to be LGBT.

But the LGBT population is less than 9-10% of the population, probably close to 5% or a little less. So the odds are against one being elected in the next 90 years even if an LGBT candidate would stand an equal chance to a straight candidate 24 years from now. Certainly the situation will not reverse such that an LGBT candidate is more likely to be elected than a straight candidate, in which case we should not expect an LGBT President in our lifetimes--although, assuming around 5 major primary candidates at each election, a major LGBT candidate in a party primary would be very likely much sooner than that.

Actually, in order for it to be likely the EV (expected value not electoral votes) of the proposition 'How many LGBT presidents will be elected in the next 90 years' needs to be above 0.5, not above 1.  Plus, once we reach the point where an LGBT candidate becomes electable, I would say the electability of such candidates will continue to rise with each election even if it favors such candidates above others until the first such candidate is elected, at which point, electabilty of LGBT candidates will decline back to where it would have been without the "first" effect.

This is probably why we will not see an Asian President any time soon. They are a respected community within our nation, but only comprise 3%-5% (some number in the lower single digit that allows them to be more than "several" million) of the American Population...last time checked.

[Person Man]

Yes, Charles Peterson, aka Charlene Peterson (post-op), will become our first transvestite President, elected in 2076.  Known for its love of stilettos, blonde wigs and purple lipstick, Peterson will go down in history as one of our greatest Presidents, having ended the Zeta Reticulan War without having fired a single shot.

That would actually be pretty bad ass. However, I know you are being a jackass. Remember-

Isiah 56-

 3 Let no foreigner who has bound himself to the LORD say,
       "The LORD will surely exclude me from his people."
       And let not any eunuch complain,
       "I am only a dry tree."

 4 For this is what the LORD says:
       "To the eunuchs who keep my Sabbaths,
       who choose what pleases me
       and hold fast to my covenant-

 5 to them I will give within my temple and its walls
       a memorial and a name
       better than sons and daughters;
       I will give them an everlasting name
       that will not be cut off.

We've already had one.

You're a pathetic being.

Why am I pathetic for talking about President Buchanan. Are you a moron?

Well, I guess we had a closeted homosexual...

[Person Man]

Here Antonio, read this : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Buchanan#Personal_relationships

Now thank me for taking time out of my vacation to prove your little snipe moronic.

Antonio is just mad because he thinks he's a pioneer in the field of buggery.

He's French and that would explain their low birthrate.

Hmmm...they don't have floridated water (it is possible that it could be chemically castrating us), so I guess....that could be a theory

[Person Man]

Well, at least you admit your mistakes. Though I agree with you, I would place honesty above agreements or disagreements.