MarkDel
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,149
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« on: March 21, 2004, 02:06:22 AM » |
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This does not surprise me. When I did my initial Prediction Map in early January, I had Michigan rated as a very slight lean to the Republicans. Same goes for Pennsylvania. These are two states which would definitely go to the Democrats if Kerry does well nationally, but if he continues to stress things like "Foreign leaders are rooting for me" then he's in big trouble. If Kerry loses by more than 3-4% nationally in the popular vote, he will likely lose Michigan and Pennsylvania.
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