Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
|
|
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2016, 09:18:28 PM » |
|
what's the point of a predictive model if one of the factors cannot be determined until after the election? That kind of voids the whole predictive thing. Regardless, Lichtman is being proclaimed as the guy that predicted the election of Trump by the media, such as headlines like "Professor predicted Trump win, says he will be impeached". It seems to me that he incorrectly predicted Trump would win the PV then he retroactively says his model correctly predicted the Clinton PV win but he is happy to take credit for also predicting Trump won the election. It seems that no matter what, his model is correct.
|