WI - Marquette: Clinton+7 (user search)
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  WI - Marquette: Clinton+7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI - Marquette: Clinton+7  (Read 6653 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 12, 2016, 02:46:36 PM »

Getting Trump to 260 in a close race is pretty easy (Romney+FL,OH,IA,ME2). Adding WI gets him to 270. At times it has seemed that WI is his best path through the CLinton wall. He originally focused on PA but now they seem to be focusing on winning 2 out of 3 of NV, NH and CO. Should he divert that NV/NH/CO time and money to WI?
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2016, 03:10:01 PM »

A big part of the post-campaign analysis will be the sort of flailing around the Trump campaign has with its electoral path strategy and the way it has spent its resources (money and candidate time). They spent a lot of candidate time in pointless states and outside of FL, OH and NC they have gone up and down in different states for the last couple of months including going dark for long stretches.  There is nothing wrong with them spending in CO/NV/NH, but should they be betting the TV spend farm on that path? And if so, then why send the candidate to PA?  It is all a hodgepodge. 

On the Clinton side they have pretty much stuck with their map since the beginning, with the only change a slow pull back on defense from where they feel safe (CO and VA) and at times a bit of a pull back in IA and OH where they felt they were slipping away and needed to shore up elsewhere. But they have never gone dark on TV in either and Clinton has been back in both IA and OH recently. 

Regarding WI, Team Clinton hasn't really spent anything on TV and they have spent limited candidate/surrogate time too. Maybe they know something Marquette poll doesn't show because they are treating it as safer than CO and VA, yet they continue to spend significantly in PA.   
 
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