Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: March 13, 2014, 04:57:31 PM » |
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If you believe in the "Keys to the White House" model, then "Party Mandate" is one of the 13 keys, but that one is if the incumbent party gains seats in the House in the midterms. The Senate is different because only 1/3 are up, and this year is a particularly bad one for the dems with so many red state seats to defend. In 2016 the shoe will be on the other foot with blue state GOPers defending.
So in short, no the 2016 Senate race isn't all that indicative.
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