Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: November 01, 2012, 02:09:09 PM » |
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« edited: November 01, 2012, 02:14:39 PM by Likely Voter »
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What is interesting is that Rove's final 2008 map was driven by polling, but even then he gave McCain all three states which were roughly tied (NC, MO, IN), but McCain only won one of those. Rove also said in 2008 that McCain had a good chance of winning FL (Obama won by almost 3%). This time Rove is essentially doing the same thing. He says that all the sates that are coinflips (NH, VA, CO) go to the Republican because he is a Republican. But then Karl breaks his pattern essentially jumps into the 'ignore the polls' camp and and gives Romney OH.
The reason is Rove has been out soliciting tens of millions of $s from the Super Rich selling them on his '3-2-1' plan of a Romney victory (3, retake NC, IN, VA), (2, swing OH & FL), (1: pick up one other Obama 2008 state like). So he cant exactly show a map w/o OH. He has essentially said Romney will fulfill the destiny he foresaw.
If Romney loses he can say that he was still right all along but it was Sandy's fault or Romney's bad GOTV (which was out of his hands).
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