North Carolina Civitas: Romney 48 Obama 47

[Likely Voter]

Interestingly this poll has 75% white 22% black, in 2008 it was 72%/23%. If Obama can get black vote to match 2008 he still has a good chance to win NC. 

[Likely Voter]

NC has the largest black population of all the swing states by far. They were only 12% of the vote in MI in 2008. This is probably why Team Obama drew the line at keeping NC in the battlegrounds but didnt contest IN or MO like they did last time. The variances of the white/black vote in NC polls creates an even bigger difference than the white/Latino  split in NV polls. Obama is actually spending more money this week than last week in NC. They are still paying more attention in other states, but they are not giving up on NC. And being that NC is a must win for all Romney paths to 270, Karl Rove's SuperPAC is pouring huge money into NC this week. Romney is also still advertising there. The bottom line is that while NC is probably going to Romney, it is still being contested.