Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: October 15, 2012, 04:07:35 PM » |
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I think it's pretty clear that this election is very close and so we are now down to which polling do you trust. If this poll is right, Romney is winning. If WaPo or PPP's state polls are right, Obama is winning. Even today's Politico poll can be read either way to interpret who is winning.
As for this forum, there does seem to be a tendency for people to believe the polls they want to believe and dismiss the polls they dont like. Some are worse about this than others.
Personally I dont know what to believe anymore, I think the race is truly a coin flip at this point and a lot depends on tomorrows debate. The one reason I lean to thinking Obama has an advantage is the state polling seems to still favor him, but its close enough that it might not be right. This poll for example could cast some doubt on the state polling although I prefer actual state polling instead of this group of state polling.
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