NJ-Rutgers: Romney barely ahead in primary (user search)
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  NJ-Rutgers: Romney barely ahead in primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Rutgers: Romney barely ahead in primary  (Read 1420 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« on: March 11, 2011, 06:01:11 AM »
« edited: March 11, 2011, 06:02:55 AM by Likely Voter »

This poll is trash

why poll Christie in it?? He wont run! 49%unsure?SURE!!!

Actually the opposite. The poll is very interesting as they didn't prompt people with candidate names but asked them to name their fave (so if someone said "Christie" they noted it, but they didn't ask "Christie?".

Here is the text from release:
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So the 49% indicates that half of the voters arent paying attention.

I think all other polls that prompt people are exaggerating support for candidates. I would like to see unprompted polling from IA, NH, and SC.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2011, 06:27:15 AM »

Again they didn't poll specific candidates, they asked thosed polled if they could name someone they would support and 12% said Christie.

Are you saying they should have said sorry name someone else. It is interesting data to see how many said Christie unprompted, are you asking them to throw that data out?
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2011, 11:05:48 PM »

guys again I think you are missing the point of the poll. It was a wide ranging poll on various issues, but with regards to the GOP 2012 they were testing if people could name someone they support. The real result is that only half of them could. I think that is interesting. I would like to see a national poll that did the same. I think other polls are overstating the 'support' for these candidates based mostly on name recognition.
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2011, 04:28:45 PM »

guys again I think you are missing the point of the poll. It was a wide ranging poll on various issues, but with regards to the GOP 2012 they were testing if people could name someone they support. The real result is that only half of them could. I think that is interesting. I would like to see a national poll that did the same.

Gallup did do a poll with this format last year:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=110654.0

Though, yeah, that was over a year ago, and it'd be interesting to see something like that done again.


Gallup should totally do that again. Are we sure they havent? I looked around and couldn't find any but maybe someone knows more.

I think more polls should ask it this way. It is interesting in this case if you take out Christie, Palin and Huckabee, and assuming they all dont run, then only 1 in 4 named a real candidate they support. I bet that is similar in other states (except maybe IA and NH) That shows how wide open this race is and why someone like Pawlenty, Barbour or even Huntsman has a good chance...assuming they can get the money together to buy enough air time.
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