Will Gary Johnson crack 5% of the PV?

[defe07]

It all depends on his current polling numbers. If he gets into all 3 debates and he has a wave of bucks and endorsements funneling his way, he can be in the 20's and could swing the election to the House and get many EV. If he doesn't get into the debates, he'll end up with numbers between Anderson 1980 and Perot 1996 numbers.

[defe07]

I don't see how third party numbers don't collapse without debate access. And that access is looking extremely unlikely right now unless Johnson can magically gain 5% over the next month to start averaging what he needs. He isn't getting even 5% without a national stage.

Pretty much this. Johnson is starting to get endorsements from sitting Congress members and is starting to get some dough. He needs to hit the campaign trail and hit the big and small states. Focus on trying to sway undecideds in the big safe D/R states to have his poll numbers go up while campaigning hard in small states like Utah to try and make a dent in the EV. I know President Forever is no reflection of political reality but its the strategy I'd use.