GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
Posts: 3,741
Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48
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« on: January 23, 2023, 06:37:26 PM » |
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I personally would bump Utah down to number 5; I think it's going to take a lot longer than people think to get there. Yes, McMuffin ran a good campaign, but he was also a conservative and I don't think his appeal is something that the Democratic Party can capitalize on in its current form. Also, Salt Lake County is not exactly doing great growth wise relative to the rest of the state. Utah is a tad redder than Nebraska right now, and it doesn't share Nebraska's beneficial growth patterns (or for that matter the magnitude of the trends in Omaha), so I feel confident saying that Utah is a worse prospect than Nebraska.
I'm torn on the placement of Montana and Nebraska in 3 and 4. Montana is a fair bit bluer, and while it's true that many heavily R communities in western Montana are growing, many of those communities also have trends that aren't half bad for Democrats, particularly Flathead County. I think on balance I'd say:
1. AK
2. KS
3. MT
4. NE
5. UT
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