CO: I think O'Dea will likely keep it under 10 and have one last "decent" showing that looks more like 2016 than 2020.
NH: No matter who wins, it ain't going to be the 7 point margin that Biden won by in 2020.
NC:Given those failed expectations, it's not unreasonable to say Budd will get close or even obtain a double-digit margin here.
PA: I suspect [Fetterman's] now going to lose by much more than just about anybody expects. And there's few places where I expect polls to do worse this cycle than PA as far as swing states.
ME: While I narrowly have Mills favored, I think this is one state where the polls will embarrass themselves once again (and also in ME-02, which showed Biden ahead when he lost by 7, still show Golden narrowly favored). ... It's unreasonable to expect Mills to do better than Biden when she's running against a former Governor who's well-known in the state in a poor political environment, but that's what they seem to show. Upset watch here.
MI: I knew the early polling which showed Whitmer ahead by huge margins was nonsense. She was never going to win by her 2018 margin or even get close to it.
PA: I think after the election, we'll sit here wondering why we ever believed Shapiro was going to win by double digits in a perennial swing state in a poor national environment for Democrats.
WI: There's just no fundamental reason to expect [Evers] to win here
House
Again, I believe the generic ballot is underestimating Republicans ... Overall, my prediction is what it has been for the past year or so, regardless of some individual race outcomes. The pundits, polls, and prognosticators are going to have yet another miserable night, missing Republican gains in multiple races and calling many "Likely D" that end up going Republican or close ... How many elections is it going to take, to understand we're being manipulated?
Senate - 54R, 46D
House - 247R, 188D
Governor - 31R, 19D
...
It is hard for me to see how Republicans do not pull off or at least come very close to a clean sweep (54R-46D) today ... TL;DR: In terms of the actual number of D/R seats after this election, I basically expect a repeat of 2014 across the board (Senate, House, Governors).
This is kind of mean and pretty unfair for me to pick on you for, but so is the self-righteousness about how smart you are and how stupid everyone else is for not seeing what was so obvious to you which has been so common on the forum as of late. I hope you will consider being less condescending and more open-minded now that olawakandi was literally orders of magnitude more accurate than you.
