IA-Selzer: Ernst +4 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Ernst +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Ernst +4  (Read 5557 times)
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
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Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« on: October 31, 2020, 06:14:36 PM »

Why live
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 06:20:24 PM »

Meh.



Better enthusiasm, I suppose.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 06:21:46 PM »

I am going to raze the state of Iowa if they vote for Biden while sending this clown back to the Senate.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 06:46:50 PM »

Having had some time to ponder this poll, I'm becoming more and more skeptical. This poll shows basically no swing from 2016, when logically you would expect the massive national swing from Clinton to Biden to outweigh even a very strong rightward trend in an E L A S T I C Purple heart state like Iowa. I know that I'll probably be one of the people with egg on my face when the pig castrator gets sent right back to her seat, but I wouldn't be surprised if this is quite off the mark
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 07:22:57 PM »

Wait, yeah, what?

Apparently, in IA-01, 51% of voters prefer Rs on the generic House ballot, as opposed to 36% preferring Ds. In IA-04, it's 50% R to 33% D.

There's no way this is accurate, right? Trump didn't even clear 50 in 2016 in this district, and it voted narrowly against Kim Reynolds. Are Selzer polls usually this janky?
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