Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,278
Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49
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« on: November 11, 2020, 12:50:02 PM » |
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By far the biggest reasons Republicans held the Senate (pending the Georgia run-offs) is that the Senate is atrociously malapportioned in a way that benefits white, rural votes, and these voter have become base of the Republican party.
The second biggest reason is the nationalized polarization of politics, which makes it impossible for good candidates like Bullock and Bollier to run significantly ahead of the presidential vote in red states.
Third would be a couple of very obvious candidate specific-factors in North Carolina and Maine.
The failure of the party to appeal effectively to Latinos on either a presentation or policy basis was a big factor in both the presidential and House results in Florida, Texas, and California, but probably made very little difference in the Senate.
I don't think covid really help Republicans, but it also didn't really hurt them, because Democrats never presented an appealing and specific alternative.
BLM protests and such were not really a factor.
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