NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV) (user search)
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  NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV)  (Read 1804 times)
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

« on: March 15, 2020, 03:10:37 PM »

Biden +9 nationally is also essentially what you get by looking at the consensus of state polls over the last week.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2020, 07:32:34 PM »

Lets see a turnout poll with the virus going on before I believe any of these numbers.

If coronavirus is still a significant concern in November, Trump is sure to lose in an historic landslide.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2020, 07:37:23 PM »

Lets see a turnout poll with the virus going on before I believe any of these numbers.

If coronavirus is still a significant concern in November, Trump is sure to lose in an historic landslide.

Not with his approvala at 45 percent and rising

Every average I’ve seen shows Trump’s approval declining modestly but steadily since the start of the crisis.  But it’s not even especially relevant, since if the virus keeps spreading through November, about 5% of Trump’s voters will be dead.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2020, 10:58:39 AM »

News flash, there has been polls showing Trump creeping up on Biden. Even the D internal poll shows Biden only up 3 or 4 points not 7 or 10 and Trump is gonna expose Biden's weakness on Ukraine and comprehensive immigration reform. No immigration reform until this virus leaves.

Biden says he want immigration reform the first week in office

The “D internal poll” you cite was not a national poll, it was a “battleground state” poll of states Trump won by 1 point on aggregate in 2016.  So it would likely translate to Biden +7 nationwide.  Not sure what other polls you are referring to.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2020, 12:46:44 PM »

Believe what you want, but it says 49-45-5 head to head matchup with Biden, Trump and Amash and it is a natl poll.

Anyways these are RV +9, there is no such thing as RV at election time, LV

Where are you seeing it says “it is a natl poll”?

This is the poll you are referring to:
Results From Democracy Corps Survey in Presidential and Senate Battleground

Here’s what it says on the first page:
Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on behalf of the non-profit and non-partisan Center for Voter Information (CVI) in 16 battleground states.
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