NEW AP POLL - Bush +1% - Nader @ 6%

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Nader is higher than I expected, but he was at about 6% in the polls right before the 2000 election, and ended up with less than half that.  I expect Nader will outpoll his actually election showing again this year.  And he probably won't even get to 2%, since he won't be on the ballot in many places.

Also, the 6% is probably a lot of disgruntled Dean supports, many of whom will return to the Dems when they see Dean campaigning with Kerry or speaking at the convention.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

One more thing - that poll must have REALLY pushed for leaners to have only 3% undecided eight months before the election!