Changing presidential map or not?

[Rawlings]

Thought I would throw this out there: a map of Bush's latest approval ratings (admittedly about 6 months old now) from SUSA, adjusted for national eqilibrium:

Basically, no changes. It could be a unique Bush map though - perhaps it will change radically with new candidates. Anyway, discuss.

I would say you're pretty accurate.  Here's my map with a few changes--but same result.  I hope I'm wrong but I think Ohio's turn to the Democrats will kill us in 2008...

[Rawlings]

This says a lot about political bases, too.  I don't think that many people really see Oregon going Republican or Missouri Democratic in a tied election.   I imagine it's just that the 2004 Bush voters in Missouri are more likely to be angry than in Oregon.

Obviously also some economics-related zaniness going on here too.

Some of Bush's worst numbers are in Missouri.  I think it has a real chance of turning.  But alternatively, I think Oregon could switch, too. I know it's crazy liberal but Bush actually got closer in '04 than 2000.  That may or may not be a trend.  On my map if Oregon and Missouri switched the Dems would still win.  But if the GOP holds MO and takes OR they win...