CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[Gracile]

At this rate, the NC seats could be the only Democrats flips tonight.

GA-07 is looking increasingly like a flip.

[Gracile]

Suozzi going down in NY-03?  or is there still a lot of VBM left to count in New York?

I think there's still a lot of VBM left, judging by the results in some of the other NY congressional districts.

[Gracile]

Lake County, IL dropped some more of its ballots today and here are how they impacted IL-06/IL-10/IL-14 districtwide:

Sean Casten (D-inc) 211,791 (52.78%) / +289
Jeanne Ives (R) 182,476 (45.47%) / +160
Bill Redpath (L) 7,006 (1.75%) / +4

Brad Schneider (D-inc) 199,458 (63.83%) / +2,242
Valerie Mukherjee (R) 113,006 (36.17%) / +715

Lauren Underwood (D-inc) 200,976 (50.60%) / +338
Jim Oberweis (R) 196,215 (49.40%) / +181

[Gracile]

Imagine telling people before the election that Democrats would end up more likely to win NY-22 than CA-25 (Brindisi obviously doesn't have this in the bag, but still).

[Gracile]

While there was still a degree of ticket-splitting this year (which largely benefited downballot Republicans), it is far, far less than in previous presidential years. Even just four years ago you had incumbents in swingy districts who outperformed their party's nominee by absurd margins (like 10%+/20%+ divergences). There are definitely politicians with specific brands and who represent idiosyncratic communities who performed better, but for the most part House results I've seen from competitive districts aren't that far off from the presidential topline.

[Gracile]

New IA-02 recount numbers:

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1330996265438633985

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/AndrewDonovan/status/1330938566382407683

This is old news (check a few pages back).