Congressional Primary Results Megathread

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Swing and historically competitive CA Districts:

CA-4: 61.7% GOP
CA-7: 54.5% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 55.1% GOP
CA-21: 55.5% GOP
CA-22: 59.1% GOP
CA-24: 52.2% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 52% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.6% GOP
CA-26: 61.2% Dem
CA-31: 60.4% Dem
CA-36: 57.7% Dem
CA-39: 50.6% GOP
CA-45: 51.4% GOP
CA-48: 52.8% GOP
CA-49: 54% Dem
CA-50: 58% GOP
CA-52: 62.6% Dem

So the GOP currently on track to win back six of the seven house seats they lost in the state last time, with only the 49th seeing the Dems get another term. 

If you're going to make these sweeping statements about the composition of the primary electorate and it's impact on the general election, you should probably note the final party breakdowns for the 2018 primary:

CA-10: 52.1% GOP - 47.9% D
CA-21: 62.8% GOP - 37.2% D (!)
CA-25: 51.8% GOP - 48.2% D
CA-39: 53.3% GOP - 44.9% D
CA-45: 51.7% GOP - 46.1% D
CA-48:  53.0% GOP - 46.0% D

The initial GOP share in all but two of these districts is already down from the final GOP share in 2018 (and keep in mind with the way late ballots skew Democratic, these numbers will be sure to drop in the coming weeks). If anything, this is a pretty underwhelming sign for the Republicans.

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Oberweis is barely ahead of Rezin 27.7-26.8 in the IL-14 GOP Primary in the early returns, per DDHQ.

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Huh.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1240079851194892294

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Buehler is currently in third place in the OR-02 primary, though it appears none of Deschutes (his home base) is in.

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NYT just called the OR-02 Republican primary for Bentz, defeating Knute Buehler.

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What was the 2016 presidential vote in IN 5?

53-41 Trump, however, Donnelly narrowly won it in the Senate race in 2018.

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NM-02, one of the most competitive (and divisive) Republican primaries this evening, is seeing much higher turnout relative to 2018:

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1267952616769753089

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Hale has slightly increased her lead slightly over Thornton as a more of IN-05 comes in:

Christina Hale - 3,077 (33.1%)
Dee Thornton - 2,690 (29.0%)
Andy Jacobs - 1,935 (20.8%)
Jennifer Christie - 1,455 (15.7%)   
Ralph Spelbring - 126 (1.4%)

9,283 votes, 98 of 596 precincts reporting

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Jim Bognet has a very early lead in the PA-08 GOP primary. He leads Harry Haas 42.5%-18.7% with 77 of 398 precincts reporting.

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Christina Finello has a large lead in the Democratic Primary for PA-01. She currently has 76.4% of the vote.

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AP officially calls the IN-05 GOP primary for Victoria Spartz:

https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1267986136695275522

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NM-03: Teresa Leger Fernandez leads Valerie Plame narrowly in NM-03 Democratic Primary 32.3%-28.3% with about 5% of precincts reporting.

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In PA-10, progressive candidate Tom Brier is leading Eugene DePasquale in the initial precincts reporting:

Tom Brier 592 (62.0%)
Eugene DePasquale 363 (38.0%)

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In PA-10, progressive candidate Tom Brier is leading Eugene DePasquale in the initial precincts reporting:

Tom Brier 592 (62.0%)
Eugene DePasquale 363 (38.0%)

Even as someone of the left, this result would be shooting ourselves in the foot.

Worth noting that the closeness of the Plame/TLF result is because the early precincts are the Anglo ones. Once the Hispanic vote comes in that should help Leger.

Also good that McDermott is going down in flames in IN-01.

Yeah, I never understood why Plame was supposedly the frontrunner in this race. TLF seems like a much better fit for the electorate.

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Feenstra barely leads King, so far according to DDHQ:

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1268001269937037312

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Woodbury County

Feenstra 2981 38%
King 2570 33%
Taylor 1474 19%

This is probably not enough for Feenstra if this is representative. Polls indicated he was strongest in the Woodbury County area

It should be noted that only one of the counties he represents in the State Senate is in, and Feenstra leads there 56-32.

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Mrvan has expanded his lead over McDermott slightly in IN-01 to 34.3-27.8 with the latest Lake County vote dump.

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Dammit, if King wins, then Scholten can't flip the seat.

I mean, he would be an underdog against King as well.

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Feenstra putting up some big numbers:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1268005302605164545

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The PA-08 GOP primary has been incredibly close all night; currently, the top three candidates are within 2% of each other:

Teddy Daniels 8,623 (27.1%)   
Earl Granville 8,287 (26.0%)
Jim Bognet 8,075 (25.4%)   

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Lol at Republicans nominating a candidate in PA-08 with less than $30,000 in the bank.

I mean when the spread is 27-25-25 between three candidates, there is more blame on the party for just abandoning the primary to it's fate.

It's crazy that the party punted on a district that could be one of their top pickup opportunities based on fundamentals. Then again, the NRCC, et al. has made some questionable decisions all cycle.

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AP calls the IN-01 Democratic Primary for Mrvan:

https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1268023931530813447

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Bourdeaux has a big lead in the first GA-07 Dem Primary vote dump, per DDHQ:

Carolyn Bourdeaux 4,513 (56.28%)   
Brenda Romero 1,054 (13.14%)   
Nabilah Islam 871 (10.86%)   
John Eaves 579 (7.22%)   
Rashid Malik 559 (6.97%)   
Zahra Karinshak 443 (5.52%)

0% of precincts reporting (part of Gwinnett County EV)

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https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

This one really flew under the radar. It would be interesting to see how Waites does in the runoff (maybe Waites could benefit from progressive groups pouring money here).

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Think Ossoff will avoid a runoff if this trendline holds.