SC-SEN 2022: Could Joe Cunningham make this race competitive?

[Frenchrepublican]

Seriously dude, are you going to create many other stupid/hackish posts/threads until November 2022 ?

MO/SC/IN senate races are not competitive, no matter what you want to believe. And the FL/OH/IA races are very unlikely to flip too.

At the best, if they are very lucky, democrats will be able to flip PA/WI/NC and hold all their vulnerable seats, GA/AZ/NV/NH, but that's it.

[Frenchrepublican]

Seriously dude, are you going to create many other stupid/hackish posts/threads until November 2022 ?

MO/SC/IN senate races are not competitive, no matter what you want to believe. And the FL/OH/IA races are very unlikely to flip too.

At the best, if they are very lucky, democrats will be able to flip PA/WI/NC and hold all their vulnerable seats, GA/AZ/NV/NH, but that's it.

Chill out.  This is a discussion forum where we're supposed to discuss Congressional elections, so that's what I'm doing.  I'm not being "hackish" by asking people more knowledgeable than me for insight into some states' politics I know little about.  And nobody is making you read or reply to anything.  If you don't want to discuss Congressional elections, why are you even here?

It's true, the aim of this forum is to talk about elections... but in a serious way, and that's not what you are doing.

Cunningham was voted out last year in a district which leans to the left of the state as whole and democrats failed miserably in their quest to defeat Graham so it is very hard to see how this same person could defeat the far more popular Scott, especially considering that the climate is likely to be less favourable to them. SC-Sen 2022 is Safe R and this is not even debatable.

So please stop inundating the forum with unserious stuff.

[Frenchrepublican]

Seriously dude, are you going to create many other stupid/hackish posts/threads until November 2022 ?

MO/SC/IN senate races are not competitive, no matter what you want to believe. And the FL/OH/IA races are very unlikely to flip too.

At the best, if they are very lucky, democrats will be able to flip PA/WI/NC and hold all their vulnerable seats, GA/AZ/NV/NH, but that's it.

Chill out.  This is a discussion forum where we're supposed to discuss Congressional elections, so that's what I'm doing.  I'm not being "hackish" by asking people more knowledgeable than me for insight into some states' politics I know little about.  And nobody is making you read or reply to anything.  If you don't want to discuss Congressional elections, why are you even here?

It's true, the aim of this forum is to talk about elections... but in a serious way, and that's not what you are doing.

Cunningham was voted out last year in a district which leans to the left of the state as whole and democrats failed miserably in their quest to defeat Graham so it is very hard to see how this same person could defeat the far more popular Scott, especially considering that the climate is likely to be less favourable to them. SC-Sen 2022 is Safe R and this is not even debatable.

So please stop inundating the forum with unserious stuff.

Note that I never suggested I think Cunningham could beat Scott.  I don't think it's productive to entertain fantasies about the electoral odds in a state like South Carolina.  At the same time, I think the quality of an underdog is important.  Making a race competitive is better than resigning to an uncontested blowout.  Yeah, Harrison lost to Graham in 2020, but for a while there that race was interesting, and accordingly a ton of resources flowed into SC that helped build up the state party. From a zero-sum perspective, 2020 was a loss for Democrats.  Obviously!  And 2022 will also probably be a loss for Democrats.  Obviously!   But in some important ways I think Harrison's loss was preferable to what would have been "generic-Dem's" loss.  And that's what I'm really asking about:  Not which SC Democrat can win, but which SC Democrat would likely be the best candidate.

Alternatively, I guess we can do what you're suggesting and talk about the same four or five Senate races exclusively until election day.  Why bother showing an interest in the rest of the country if the results are already overdetermined?  Even better, let's all just stop the "unserious" stuff and roboticly report economic data and poll numbers.  What we already know is all that matters, right?

I hope it is a joke ?





Also, you know there is no difference between losing a race by 16 points (with Cunningham) and by 20 points, a loss is a loss, your party would be smarter to target the few states where they have a real chance of flipping the seat.