Next midterm that doesn’t go against the President?

[Frenchrepublican]

Theres always 2022.....

Think about it. A noncontroversial Biden leading during an economic recovery and widespread availability of a Covid vaccine. He might end up pretty popular.

Hey, a man can dream. 

In 2018 the economy was going very well, still the elections were a bloodbath....

As for Biden the guy has been elected on the message that ,, at least he is not Trump '' ; for 40% of Biden voters that was the main reason of their vote, not sure that his support in the electorate runs very deep.

[Frenchrepublican]

Theres always 2022.....

Think about it. A noncontroversial Biden leading during an economic recovery and widespread availability of a Covid vaccine. He might end up pretty popular.

Hey, a man can dream.  

In 2018 the economy was going very well, still the elections were a bloodbath....

As for Biden the guy has been elected on the message that ,, at least he is not Trump '' ; for 40% of Biden voters that was the main reason of their vote, not sure that his support in the electorate runs very deep.

The economy was going well and the majority of the country still disliked Trump and wanted to put a check on him.

And as for Biden, his support might seem shallow, but give him two years as a popular incumbent and anything is possible.

I'm not saying Biden is going to be popular, but there is a possibility that Biden might be popular. That could lead to a good mid-term for democrats in 2022 as a result.

It's hard to see because either

1. he decides to act like Obama did between 2011 and 2017, in other words he governs by executive orders and does what he can to implement the liberal agenda without legislative input (very likely).

2. he decides to govern as a third way democrat (aka Bill Clinton) and find compromises with Mitch, but in a such scenario the left wing of the democratic party would go nuclear on him and a large share of the democratic electorate simply refuse to vote in midterms*

*and obviously Warren and AOC would try to punish the ''traitors'' by involving themselves in democratic primaries accross the country.

[Frenchrepublican]

Theres always 2022.....

Think about it. A noncontroversial Biden leading during an economic recovery and widespread availability of a Covid vaccine. He might end up pretty popular.

Hey, a man can dream.  

In 2018 the economy was going very well, still the elections were a bloodbath....

As for Biden the guy has been elected on the message that ,, at least he is not Trump '' ; for 40% of Biden voters that was the main reason of their vote, not sure that his support in the electorate runs very deep.

I happen to agree that it's very unlikely for the same reason but you could argue the situation might end up closer to 2002 than 2010 or 2018 if the vaccine is actually successful and the "defeat" of many of the effects of coronavirus is treated like a foreign policy success (in the way Bush was rewarded in the aftermath of 9/11). It's not yet completely out of the realm of possibility, especially if they actually hold the Senate this year.

Would people (who are not already Biden fans) really give credit to Biden for a vaccine for which he has no merit ? Very sceptic about that

[Frenchrepublican]

Theres always 2022.....

Think about it. A noncontroversial Biden leading during an economic recovery and widespread availability of a Covid vaccine. He might end up pretty popular.

Hey, a man can dream.  

In 2018 the economy was going very well, still the elections were a bloodbath....

As for Biden the guy has been elected on the message that ,, at least he is not Trump '' ; for 40% of Biden voters that was the main reason of their vote, not sure that his support in the electorate runs very deep.

I happen to agree that it's very unlikely for the same reason but you could argue the situation might end up closer to 2002 than 2010 or 2018 if the vaccine is actually successful and the "defeat" of many of the effects of coronavirus is treated like a foreign policy success (in the way Bush was rewarded in the aftermath of 9/11). It's not yet completely out of the realm of possibility, especially if they actually hold the Senate this year.

Would people (who are not already Biden fans) really give credit to Biden for a vaccine for which he has no merit ? Very sceptic about that

I'm skeptical too, but stranger things have happened particularly with regards to COVID-19 and public opinion. If Republican low-propensity voters don't show up as much in the midterms, Biden could do ok by holding onto an abnormally high proportion of his presidential coalition, which might be inclined to credit him with "the end of lockdowns"/a good COVID-19 response.

I think you’re too optimistic
If Biden voters are happy the most likely scenario is that most of them stop caring about politics altogether and don’t turn-out in drove. You know, hate and anger are far better motivators than happiness.