NJ-2: Van Drew considering switching parties over impeachment

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1205933239933841408

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1205953125141635074?s=20

It’s official

[Frenchrepublican]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

He has about as much of a chance to win a Republican primary as Parker Griffith and Artur Davis.

Trump could endorse an inanimate object in a 2X Obama->Trump CD and it would win the Republican primary easily.

Senator Luther Strange and congresswoman Renee Elmers agree with you.

Totally different. Elmers was endorsed by Trump before he became president and Strange was seen as corrupt by many conservative voters

[Frenchrepublican]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

He has about as much of a chance to win a Republican primary as Parker Griffith and Artur Davis.

Trump could endorse an inanimate object in a 2X Obama->Trump CD and it would win the Republican primary easily.

Senator Luther Strange and congresswoman Renee Elmers agree with you.

Totally different. Elmers was endorsed by Trump before he became president and Strange was seen as corrupt by many conservative voters

Agreed.  Also there is a completely different dynamic in Southern states/districts with a very significant hard right block in the R primary that doesn't have any particular loyalty to Trump and long predates him.  The NJ-02 primary is going to be decided by people who only came to the party for Trump.

Yeah, NJ republicans are more moderate than AL republicans (generally speaking)

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1205950839577305088?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

👆The guy above has a point

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1206225042452803584?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

Remember when the DCCC intervened in the primary to clear the field for this dope?

Most Democratic voters would be elated with a recruit who flipped a district held by Republicans for a quarter century, voted for a $15 minimum wage, voted repeatedly against Border Wall funding, voted to ban offshore drilling in the Gulf, supported a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, opposed a transgender military ban, supported requiring background checks on firearm sales, voted to fund federal agencies during the government shutdown, and voted with Trump less often than multiple members of the Squad, but sure go off about how this is a failure of the DCCC rather than the buffoonish acts of one terrified boob who is afraid of voting for a position three quarters of his primary electorate supports.

The problem is that the ''boob'' has some reasons to be worried about voting for impeachment, NJ-2 is a Trumpist district where the impeachment circus is unpopular with the general electorate,. Moving to the far left to win the primary and then losing the general election is not a smart calculus