LA: Mason Dixon/WAFB9 poll: Edwards at 45% in jungle

[Frenchrepublican]

This poll is better for Edwards than the JMC one, but some numbers are hard to believe.

Trump approval only +6
https://twitter.com/MattCHouston/status/1181260468817743873?s=20

And a D+8 electorate while the early vote was only 43/42 D
https://twitter.com/MattCHouston/status/1181259584226373638?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

It's kind of important to note JBE is over 50% in both runoff scenarios:

Edwards 51
Rispone 42

Edwards 53
Abraham 38

Don’t worry the RGA will do some carpet bombing once the primary is done.

[Frenchrepublican]

The article says 10% of those polled were undecided, so these polls giving the number Edwards is exactly at shouldn't be taken entirely at face value. 45/90 is 50%, though it is entirely possible Edwards underperforms with undecideds. Still, if he's in the high 40s he could actually be just above 50% once undecideds are factored in.

Wouldn’t common sense dictate that at this point, most undecided are Rs?

Yeah, undecided voters don’t look very favourable to Edwards (13% of whites are undecided and only 7% of blacks are)

[Frenchrepublican]

Atlas: LA is Safe R!!!

I don’t want to dash your hopes of a JBE victory but this poll had Trump barely above water (in LA !!) and gave to Abraham/Rispone a 39 % combined share of the vote. While they won 51% in the end