GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/BenjaminAmis/status/1160972594813816833

“Ga iS lIkeLy R!”

“AbRaMs cOuLdNt wIn iN a D+9 yEaR!”

GA GOP is also launching a voter registration effort for 2020. They have NEVER attempted to expand the electorate. Just rile up high propensity Dixiecrats in rural GA. They are running out of voters to entice with racist dogwhistles.

So just to be clear when Dems launch voter registration drives they are ‘gearing up’ or ‘running a smart campaign’ but when Rs do it they are in disarray and running scared?

Obviously GA is trending D but it is silly to think that the GOP launching a voter registration drive in a Lean R state indicates good news for Democrats. It means the GOP is taking the race seriously, which is a bad thing if you’re a Dem. it is hardly a death knell obviously but the double standard on how political campaigning is conducted and advertised on this forum is kind of silly.

You're talking to a guy who thinks Stace Abrams is the rightful governor of Georgia, he doesn't have a very strong grip on reality

Be careful, for some D posters on this forum contesting the fact that Stacey Abrams is the rightful governor of GA makes you a white supremacist

[Frenchrepublican]

Anybody want to speculate on Tomlinson's fundraising numbers?  What does she need to bring in to stay competitive?

>800k $ (probably)

This race is not really competitive anyway. The path to a D senate majority is CO<AZ<ME<NC

[Frenchrepublican]

Anybody want to speculate on Tomlinson's fundraising numbers?  What does she need to bring in to stay competitive?

>800k $ (probably)

This race is not really competitive anyway. The path to a D senate majority is CO<AZ<ME<NC

It definitely is competitive, and the state has two senate elections anyway.

But yep, this is seat #51/#52, not #50.

Both GA sen races are as much competitive than MN sen or NH sen races, on the paper it looks competitive and it could be close, but it’s not really competitive.

[Frenchrepublican]

Both GA sen races are as much competitive than MN sen or NH sen races, on the paper it looks competitive and it could be close, but it’s not really competitive.

Once again, this individual who doesn't even live in the United States, does not know the situation on the ground in Georgia.

Both Senate seats are "Lean R" and only because of the run-off rule. The dam might bust and Dems head straight over 50 percent without ever looking back.

Yeah, I'm supporting Ossoff now. He can probably raise way more money than Tomlinson. I still wish Abrams would step in and save us.

The eventual nominee is going to get a lot of money. The election is over a year out. Go to Cuthbert, Albany, Bainbridge, Jesup, or Brunswick GA and no one would know who the hell Jon Ossoff is and what he stands for.

Ossoff ain't it. Perdue wants to run against him. Tomlinson is tough and intelligent and will skewer him.

You love personal attacks ! Really, is it the only argument you have ? mUh, hE iS fRencH, hE doEsN’t LiVe oN tHe gRounD, bAd.

By the way your argument is stupid, I mean if some conservative dude who happen to live in MI tell you’’Trump will win MI in a landslide, because I live here, and all my friends support him.’’ Does it make Trump favoured to win MI ? No, of course. Because the friendship circle of this guy is not representative of the MI electorate. It’s the same thing for your argument, what your are seeing on the ground, the way your friends behave from a political perspective doesn’t make GA a swing state (at least not yet) because the place where you’re living and the people you encounter are not necessarily representative of the GA electorate.

[Frenchrepublican]

You love personal attacks ! Really, is it the only argument you have ? mUh, hE iS fRencH, hE doEsN’t LiVe oN tHe gRounD, bAd.

By the way your argument is stupid, I mean if some conservative dude who happen to live in MI tell you’’Trump will win MI in a landslide, because I live here, and all my friends support him.’’ Does it make Trump favoured to win MI ? No, of course. Because the friendship circle of this guy is not representative of the MI electorate. It’s the same thing for your argument, what your are seeing on the ground, the way your friends behave from a political perspective doesn’t make GA a swing state (at least not yet) because the place where you’re living and the people you encounter are not necessarily representative of the GA electorate.

Stating that you don't live in America (which is true) is a personal attack? K.

And I'm not just some dude making statements about who my friends voted for. My opinions are based in data, reason, and logic. Like I said, you're not here and you don't know the work being done from the state level down to the precinct level to make sure this state goes blue. You don't know what rooms I've sat in having these discussions and who was in them. LOL. GA is very competitive and I'll be here on Election Night 2020 helping you pick your jaw off the floor when both Senate seats go Democratic.

The problem is that your are not giving counter arguments, you’re simply saying : you’re French, you’re not on the ground, so shut up, I know better than anyone else.

Based on datas ? Yeah, like the fact that democrats failed to win even one statewide election since 2002 (and failed miserably again last year despite a D+8 year and massive investments)

When both seats go Democratic ? Yeah, it will be beautiful to see : Senator Ossoff and Senator Tomlinson joining Governor Abrams in the alternative universe of a blue GA

[Frenchrepublican]

The problem is that your are not giving counter arguments

GA's electorate is growing more non-white and these voters overwhelmingly support Democratic candidates (they voted 85-14 for the Democratic nominee for Governor) they were 40 percent of the electorate in 2018 and by all estimations will be 42 percent of the electorate in 2020. Not to mention the fact that Republicans are maxed out in rural GA and Trump is likely to do worse than Kemp in Metro Atlanta.

There.

Trump is not going to win the state by more than 2 points. It's not Likely R and neither are the Senate seats.

Okay

- Minorities represent a rising share of the electorate, it’s a fact, yeah. Now, it’s not unconceivable to imagine Trump doing a bit better among non white voters than Kemp, let’s say 17% rather than 15%.

- Every election cycle democrats think that they have hit the bottom in rural areas and that their numbers can only go up. That’s what they thought after 2012 (remember the Clinton will be competitive in the rural south again because she is not black). That’s also what they thought after 2016. And look, Kemp did even better than Trump in rural GA.

- It’s possible that Trump will do worse than Kemp is some suburbs (Cobb County for example) ; but on the other hand Kemp was not a very good fit for white college educated voters, so don’t expect a big drop off either.
(By the way I doubt that Warren would be very popular in Buckhead)

[Frenchrepublican]

You love personal attacks ! Really, is it the only argument you have ? mUh, hE iS fRencH, hE doEsN’t LiVe oN tHe gRounD, bAd.

By the way your argument is stupid, I mean if some conservative dude who happen to live in MI tell you’’Trump will win MI in a landslide, because I live here, and all my friends support him.’’ Does it make Trump favoured to win MI ? No, of course. Because the friendship circle of this guy is not representative of the MI electorate. It’s the same thing for your argument, what your are seeing on the ground, the way your friends behave from a political perspective doesn’t make GA a swing state (at least not yet) because the place where you’re living and the people you encounter are not necessarily representative of the GA electorate.

Stating that you don't live in America (which is true) is a personal attack? K.

And I'm not just some dude making statements about who my friends voted for. My opinions are based in data, reason, and logic. Like I said, you're not here and you don't know the work being done from the state level down to the precinct level to make sure this state goes blue. You don't know what rooms I've sat in having these discussions and who was in them. LOL. GA is very competitive and I'll be here on Election Night 2020 helping you pick your jaw off the floor when both Senate seats go Democratic.

The problem is that your are not giving counter arguments, you’re simply saying : you’re French, you’re not on the ground, so shut up, I know better than anyone else.

Based on datas ? Yeah, like the fact that democrats failed to win even one statewide election since 2002 (and failed miserably again last year despite a D+8 year and massive investments)

When both seats go Democratic ? Yeah, it will be beautiful to see : Senator Ossoff and Senator Tomlinson joining Governor Abrams in the alternative universe of a blue GA

Dude, you've been told this a million times and still won't get it through your thick skull, GA is an inelastic, racially polarized state. You can't use a D+8 national environment to explain anything. The state is on the cusp of being majority-minority and college-educated millennials are becoming a bigger piece of the pie with each passing election, it's only a matter of time before the dam bursts. It could be next year, could be '22 but it's a ticking time bomb.

Yeah, on the longer term GA will be a problem, at least if republicans don’t improve their numbers with minorities.

[Frenchrepublican]

She is lying, she raised only 400k in Q3.

$925k = Q3 + Q2

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1184167785808760838?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

She is lying, she raised only 400k in Q3.

She was spinning, not lying, that's what Trump and Perdue do.

Lol. #DoubleStandard

[Frenchrepublican]

I'm a confused as to how Ossoff consistently is able to raise such huge amounts of cash.

He rents his email lists from the special election to other campaigns I believe.

Is it even legal ?

[Frenchrepublican]

GA-Sen AJC Poll : Perdue has a 51/28 approval rate

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-georgians-oppose-ousting-trump-impeachment-trial/0EL17qnjh9HAQfmHNPZ3jM/

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1219254894974119936

[Frenchrepublican]

Terry probably had sh-t fundraising in Q4.

Ossoff is probably going to win the primary outright. Tomlinson just isn't delivering.

I think Warnock is going to carry the Senate ticket anyway so I don't care who it is at this point.

You're dreaming

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1324777843558092800?s=20

Maybe it’s time to stop calling these people « Conservative »