skbl17
Jr. Member
Posts: 425
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
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« on: May 02, 2019, 07:13:19 PM » |
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Virginia is Safe D. The GOP didn't even beat Warner in an ultra-Republican wave year where he was sleeping at the wheel and didn't have much of anything resembling a strong campaign, and Trump combined with the VA GOP's general incompetence has only accelerated the NoVA/Chesterfield/Henrico trends since then. Maybe it won't be quite as bad as Kaine/Stewart, but the margin will be big enough for it not to matter.
New Mexico is practically Safe D for all intents and purposes. For a Republican to win in New Mexico, you need either stupidly-low, GOP-biased turnout (lol at that happening in a presidential year) or Bush-in-2004-level support among Latinos (lol at that happening with Donald Trump at the top of the ballot).
The only Dem-held, competitive 2020 races in these states will be VA-2, VA-7, and NM-2.
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