Agonized-Statism
Anarcho-Statism
YaBB God
Posts: 3,854
Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -5.83
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« on: September 02, 2021, 10:48:04 AM » |
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A Republican victory in 1964 would require the 1968 fragmentation of the New Deal Coalition to happen early and the Kennedy martyrdom to be avoided at least. Looking at the example of Kennedy's contemporary in the Soviet Union, one way for him to lose power on top of worsening health would be for him to get framed as mishandling the Cuban Missile Crisis (too many concessions is a possible attack). A segregationist third-party run by Ross Barnett or George Wallace and a run from the Democrats' left permits Goldwater a narrow victory.
Can't imagine a President Goldwater doing well between civil rights, the counterculture, Vietnam, and the Space Race, but the irreconcilable differences in the New Deal Coalition make any defeat in 1968 really close. Democrats may run a hawk like Henry Jackson given the criticism that lost them 1964, but one who can sway enough of the anti-war movement to win. Think Nixon talking out of both sides of his mouth.
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