Most Vulnerable Governorships

[nclib]

How would you rank the Gubernatorial races from most vulnerable to least vulnerable? Here is Chuck Todd's rankings (from National Journal):

1. NEW YORK (Open-R)
2. OHIO (Open-R)
3. IOWA (Open-D)
4. MASSACHUSETTS (Open-R)
5. ARKANSAS (Open-R)
6. COLORADO (Open-R)
7. MARYLAND (Ehrlich-R)
8. WISCONSIN (Doyle-D)
9. MICHIGAN (Granholm-D)
10. ILLINOIS (Blagojevich-D)
11. PENNSYLVANIA (Rendell-D)
12. FLORIDA (Open-R)
13. NEVADA (Open-R)
14. CALIFORNIA (Schwarzenegger-R)
15. ALASKA (Murkowski-R)
16. OREGON (Kulongoski-D)
17. MINNESOTA (Pawlenty-R)
18. ALABAMA (Riley-R)
19. RHODE ISLAND (Carcieri-R)
20. GEORGIA (Perdue-R)
21. MAINE (Baldacci-D)
22. TEXAS (Perry-R)
23. OKLAHOMA (Henry-D)
24. VERMONT (Douglas-R)
25. SOUTH CAROLINA (Sanford-R)
26. CONNECTICUT (Rell-R)
27. TENNESSEE (Bredesen-D)
28. KANSAS (Sebelius-D)
29. ARIZONA (Napolitano-D)
30. NEW HAMPSHIRE (Lynch-D)
31. SOUTH DAKOTA (Rounds-R)
32. IDAHO (Kempthorne-R)
33. HAWAII (Lingle-R)
34. WYOMING (Freudenthal-D)
35. NEW MEXICO (Richardson-D)
36. NEBRASKA (Heineman-R)

http://nationaljournal.com/racerankings/governor/

Most of this seems reasonable, but I'd move Calif. up a bit.

[nclib]

Those weren't my rankings (they were National Journal's). I would have put Calif. above Nevada.

[nclib]

I'm pleased to see South Dakota move up in the rankings after Rounds signed that ridiculous abortion bill.

Also, it is ironic that Dems in Kerry states are much more vulnerable than Dems in Bush states.

[nclib]

27. IDAHO (Isn’t this open now?-R)

Yes, Gov. Kempthorne was appointed to Secretary of the Interior, and the acting Governor is running for Lieutenant Governor.