2016 White and Non-White Vote by County Project (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 02:48:17 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  2016 White and Non-White Vote by County Project (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2016 White and Non-White Vote by County Project  (Read 30112 times)
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,305
United States


« on: February 06, 2017, 09:46:47 PM »

Wow!!! Fantastic job reagente!! Congrats! Cheesy

The map is amazing. The white electorate in Detroit, Indianapolis and Atlanta voted for Trump. That result surprised me because i believed that the white vote in these areas was extremally liberal. Is there any reason for this? Is the AA vote so high in these counties that overshades the white vote?

PS: Just off topic, reagente are you portuguese?

The margins were pretty close in all of these, and I suspect that Clinton won the White vote in the city proper for all of these cases, but the other suburbs in the county put Trump over the edge.

Per this model, Trump won the White Vote in Marion County, IN by 3.2%, Wayne County, MI by 0.4%, and Fulton County, GA by 2.5%.


Very few whites live in Detroit proper and putting minority turnout at the same as whites and as 100% for Clinton still leaves Detroit whites as solidly Democratic. Indianapolis incorporates almost all of Marion County, so Trump likely carried Indianapolis whites. Not quite sure about Atlanta, especially because it continues into DeKalb county, but it's probably close either way.

Other major central cities in counties that Trump appeared to carry whites are Phoenix, Jacksonville, OKC, where Trump won outright, and Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Tampa, Orlando, Charlotte, Memphis, Kansas City, Cincinnati, and Buffalo.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,305
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2017, 07:12:44 PM »

It's ironic how Clinton won FL-25 whites and lost its non-whites whereas the opposite is true in the other Cuban districts FL-26 and FL-27.

Aside from Cubans, the only districts where Trump won non-whites are OK-2 and OK-3. I know Native Americans in rural Okla. are pretty assimilated and Republican--is there anything else here? Are there other CDs where the non-white vote is close?
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,305
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2020, 10:46:08 PM »

Just listing Trump's best states among each minority group...

black trump
[NE-3]   11.7
WY   9.7
WV   9.2
ND   8.7
OK   8.5
ID   8.3

Not surprising - very Republican states with low black population (ironically blacks in very conservative states with many blacks (MS, AL) are more or as Democratic than the national average)

hisp trump   
WV   39.5
WY   39
[NE-3]   37.3
KY   36.8
FL   36.2
ND   35.3

Not surprising - FL is Cubans, and KY is a bit of an outlier.

asian trump
[NE-3]   47.3
WV   39.9
OK   39.6
ND   39.4
ID   39.3
LA   38.2

LA a bit of an outlier as I thought Asians in LA are primarily in New Orleans area.

other trump   
OK   56.9
WV   49.1
[NE-3]   46.4
KY   45.5
AR   44.7
TN   44.4

Likely Native Americans and mixed race. OK is expected as it has many assimilated Native Americans. Probably a coincidence that these are almost all the states that swung Repub in 2008.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 10 queries.