Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
johnzaharoff
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,018
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« on: May 19, 2021, 09:26:26 PM » |
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Prediction Time:
Like Planned Parenthood v. Casey this will be fractured ruling with a plurality decision acting as the Majority.
In my opinion Roberts will definitely vote for to uphold the restrictions to try to limit the holding of the ruling and get Kavanaugh on board.
"Majority" Upholds the restrictions but says that the case still upholds a right to an abortion, stating that Casey and Roe are not over turned. Expect nonsensical legal reasoning that lawyers will argue about for a decade caused by Roberts checking his top legal source: Gallup.
Author is either Roberts or Kavanaugh. They are likely the only ones who join the opinion in Full. About 3% chance Kagan joins in full to throw Roberts a bone.
The 4 conservatives will join as to the restrictions being upheld but dissent on the rest. The 3 liberals dissent as to the restrictions but join as to the right to an abortion.
Kavanaugh becomes even less popular as this pleases no one. Politicians in both parties rail against him in primaries and the phrase "No More Kavanughs!" is a rare piece of bipartisanship.
Roberts thinks this will end pressure on the issue on both sides for a while. He is wrong.
Barrett writes a opinion concurring in part dissenting in part joined by Goursuch, Thomas and Alito that will become a rallying cry for Evangelicals and a hot button topic for each new SCOTUS vacancy
Kagan writes a opinion concurring in part and dissenting in part pointing out that this case actually overturns Casey. Breyer and Sotomayor join.
Sotomayor writes a separate blistering opinion calling the Supreme Court's Abortion Jurisprudence bullsh**t.
Thomas writes a writes a separate blistering opinion calling the Supreme Court's Abortion Jurisprudence bullsh**t.
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