Chilean Presidential Election 2013 - Doomsday is here!

[Ichabod]

There is no way they endorse Parisi, that would mean a disaster in congressional elections.

[Ichabod]

I can do that. Election is Sunday and everyone here knows Bachelet is winning (and big!) with the only doubt about this finishes this Sunday or we need a runoff in 4 weeks .

About the campaigns, the last "important" thing was two Chilean guy who were declared not guilty in a trial about bomb attacks in Santiago and now, they were picked in Zaragoza and the government tried (without success, I think) to create a issue about this.

The most important thing about Sunday elections are the Congressional ones. With Bachelet basically elected, it is very important to know if she is going to have the majorities in both the House and the Senate; if I remember correctly, the parties that support her need 13 or 14 seats out of 20 in the Senate and 69 to 72 seats out of 120 in the House. That doesn't sound so bad, except for the fact that our electoral system is kind of stupid (proportional system but the worst one ever) plus a big gerrymandering.

I hope this helps.

[Ichabod]

M..., very difficult questions, polls suck in congressional elections in Chile (as everywhere haha), but I think that districts where Nueva Mayoria has chances are: 2 (Iquique), 3 (Calama) 4 (Antofagasta), 5 (Copiapo), 6 (Vallenar), 8 (Coquimbo), 9 (Illapel), 11 (Los Andes), 18 (Cerro Navia), 19 (Recoleta-Independencia), 25 (San Joaquín, Macul, La Granja), 27 (San Ramon, La Cisterna, El Bosque), 28 (San Miguel, Pedro Aguirre Cerda, Lo Espejo), 32 (Rancagua), 33 (Rengo), 34 (San Fernando), 36 (Curico), 38 (Constitución), 42 (San Carlos), 44 (Concepción), 45 (Coronel), 46 (Lota), 60 (Punta Arenas). Alianza is probably going to keep the two seats in district 23 (by far the richest one in the country)

Chances go from very likely (district 8 ) to very very unlikely (district 19) and, in some cases, maybe it could have some third party candidate with good perfomances (districts 4, 21, 30, 60, etc.)

You can follow the results in www.elecciones.gov.cl (the first ones should be ready around 1900, Chilean time)

[Ichabod]

Actually even Matthei supporters think that 30% would be be a very good perfomance and that a more realistic result would around 23-28%

[Ichabod]

In 1 hour. Our board of elections gives the first result with an important number of votes  (around 10%) in around 2,5 hours and it is very representative, so many losing candidates concede immediately.

[Ichabod]

Yes, but it is not as Alaska, just few guys from Army, Navy and Air Force live there. It is usually that just 10 or 20 votes come from Antartica