45% of whites in Alabama is much different than 45% of whites in NJ or NH.
Obama would have lost some states had he not gotten 45% of the white vote -- including VA and NC. Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida look as if Obama got 45% of the white vote.
Should the Republicans not hold onto the poor white vote in 2012, then they can expect a very nasty landslide. That is the only significant constituency that has shown any potential for growth. Let's remember: Obama can do nothing for poor blacks and Hispanics (whom he wants to help) without doing much the same for poor whites -- culture be damned.
Obama didn't pull 40% of whites in either. Exit polls are sometimes wrong, but they're not that far off.
