Clinton + 4-6% is how the race stands with 15 days to go.
It's likely she will win, but it's not over yet folks.
You are dismissing multiple polls that have her in the high single digits are low double digits that vastly outweigh those that have her in the mid single digits. The average right now with live caller polls is around 8%.
Atl./PRRI: C+15
ABC: C+12
Mon.: C+12
NBCWSJ: C+10
CBS: C+9
Selzer C+9
Bg C+8
Fox C+7
Q C+7
CNN C+5
IBD TIE
AVERAGE: 8.54%
...and you are dismissing some polls that see the race as pure toss-up like L.A Times poll and Rasmussen. Nate Silver also has the race at HRC +5.2% at the moment. 4-6% is the current stand.
The LA Times poll is trash, and Rasmussen state polls completely contradict their national polling.