Emerson - Nevada (Everyone, but Biden, trails Trump)

[Thatkat04]

Lets not forget this gem:

https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/two-emerson-e-polls-republicans-edge-us-senate-governor-races-nevada-new-hampshire-races-come-focus#.XKELg6R7mM_

[Thatkat04]

Emerson still hasn't learned anything about Nevada. Yawn.

The last poll from Emerson before 2016 election:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html


11/4 - 11/5      Clinton +1%
The results: Clinton +2.4%


The last before midterms (NV):
11/1 - 11/4 Rosen +4%
The results: Rosen +5.0%


Emerson was quite good.


The main takeway (for me) is though:

“This poll shows a pattern in recent polls where Biden outperforms other Democratic candidates among Independent voters against Trump,” says Spencer Kimball, Director of the Emerson Poll.

Quite good...

https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/two-emerson-e-polls-republicans-edge-us-senate-governor-races-nevada-new-hampshire-races-come-focus#.XKELg6R7mM_

Yes, their final poll was good. But their October poll was off by an extreme amount.

[Thatkat04]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_mccain_vs_obama-252.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/nv/nevada_senate_angle_vs_reid-1517.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nv/nevada_romney_vs_obama-1908.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton-5891.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/nv/nevada_senate_heller_vs_rosen-6304.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/nv/nevada_governor_laxalt_vs_sisolak-6422.html

Honestly, if democrats ever get worried about a Nevada poll, just post the RCP averages from the last ten years. Pollsters still haven't figured out how to poll Nevada, Emerson is no exception.