2024 South African general election, 29 May:

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/DawieScholtz/status/1796003225256042797

Hindu Indians standing strong with DA, Im guessing DA didn't do as good with Muslims but still won a decent chunk but it should probably collapse this election to basically zero right?

[lfromnj]

Gauteng should be interesting, also seems like unlike Western Cape , the plurality of DA voters are Black.

[lfromnj]

Pomfret has reported no? At least I saw from a Dawie tweet yesterday and it was unanimous eff and anc.  UMnengi is definitely DAs best success case in the nation.

[lfromnj]

Wonder what the KZN coalition will be

[lfromnj]

I’ll definitely say the DA has been talking a lot more about woke. Even if it’s good policy behind the scenes it’s pretty dumb politics to go after a few fraction of a percent FF+ votes.

[lfromnj]

What is PA?

Corrupt Coloured anti illegal immigration party.

[lfromnj]

What's up with EFF winning a central part of Johannesburg with 41% of the vote?

Black university ?

[lfromnj]

KZN seems interesting for coalitians. IFP ruled out working with MK. IFP+DA+ANC equals exactly 40 out of 80.  MK is 37 and EFF is 2. So therefore 39 seats there.  Anyone know more about that last NFP seat? National First Party 's wikipedia page says its a center left splinter from IFP?

[lfromnj]

KZN seems interesting for coalitians. IFP ruled out working with MK. IFP+DA+ANC equals exactly 40 out of 80.  MK is 37 and EFF is 2. So therefore 39 seats there.  Anyone know more about that last NFP seat? National First Party 's wikipedia page says its a center left splinter from IFP?

It looks like a break-away from the IFP called the national Freedom Party got one seat. If that member joins then province could be governed by a slim 4 party coalition!

Two more notes
ANC can't afford any MK defections in KZN. There's already large portions of ANC sympathetic  to EFF/MK. Its not enough at a national level unless they completely remove Cyril but 1 or 2 defections in KZN would give MK the majority.

IFP also has more seats than ANC. Traditionally that should give them the premiership especially with the 3rd party in the coalitian(DA) being allies of IFP.

[lfromnj]

KZN seems interesting for coalitians. IFP ruled out working with MK. IFP+DA+ANC equals exactly 40 out of 80.  MK is 37 and EFF is 2. So therefore 39 seats there.  Anyone know more about that last NFP seat? National First Party 's wikipedia page says its a center left splinter from IFP?

From what I saw, NFP's campaign was focused almost entirely on "Service Delivery" (which afaik is like, water, electricity, etc.). Not as much "center left" as much as "good governance" (which would normally make me think that they wouldn't work with the ANC because of corruption, but MK is even more corrupt, so there's that) Their support seems to mostly come from IFP areas too, but idk if that'd make them more or less compatible. I suppose in the end it could really depend on who got the seat rather than the party as a whole.

NFP statement says they're open to "negotiating with all parties"
https://twitter.com/NFP_Updates/status/1797587447444124088

If they are acting neutral it’s almost certainly with IFP ANC DA. Just trying to squeeze what they can.

[lfromnj]

https://www.msn.com/en-za/news/other/anc-da-and-nfp-endorse-ifp-s-thami-ntuli-for-kzn-premiership-says-hlabisa/ar-BB1oa6II?ocid=BingNewsSearch

Looks like IFP got the premiership.