A thought that came to me, people have insisted Minnesota is "trending Republican" since I started posting here. But it's been 14 years of "trending Republican" since the last time a Republican won a statewide election.
Also, perhaps an ominous sign: while Minnesota Democrats did win the total U.S. House vote in 2020, Minnesota was actually right of the US as a whole (MN was D+2.5, the US as a whole was D+3.1). I don't know when the last time was that that happened, but it was before the 21st century at least.
Come on man, you should know that was because of Ilhan Omar's extreme underperformance, which wouldn't apply to virtually any other Democrat. What would be the numbers if the Democratic candidate in MN-05 received the same number of votes as Biden?
Well you wouldn't go the same as Biden. You would give Mn05 the same relative performance that the other 3 twin cities got compared to Biden.
